THE ROLE OF ENERGY TRANSITION AND INTENSITY ON CO2 IN OECD COUNTRIES
Main Article Content
Esha Galang Gati Mahendra
Toto Gunarto
Neli Aida
The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of GDP per capita, renewable energy consumption, and energy intensity on CO2 emissions in 38 OECD member countries during the period 2010–2022.This study uses a quantitative approach and panel data regression The results of this study found that all independent variables have a significant influence on CO2 emissions. GDP per capita and energy intensity have a positive effect, with elasticities of 0.060% and 0.67%, respectively, indicating that economic growth and energy inefficiency increase emissions. In contrast, renewable energy consumption had a negative effect with an elasticity of -0.016%, confirming the important role of clean energy in reducing emissions. These findings are in line with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis and emphasize the urgency of the energy transition and improving energy efficiency in developed countries.
Abnett, K. (2020). 1 in 8 deaths in Europe are linked to pollution, says EU. World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/stories/2020/09/carbon-emissions-european-union-health/#:~:text=,diabetes%2C lung disease and cancer
Ahmad, A., Wahyudi, H., & Lestari, W. R. (2024). The Effect of GDP Per Capita , Population , and Income Inequality on CO 2 Emissions in Indonesia. 14(1), 365–370.
Ballester, J., Quijal-Zamorano, M., Méndez Turrubiates, R. F., Pegenaute, F., Herrmann, F. R., Robine, J. M., Basagaña, X., Tonne, C., Antó, J. M., & Achebak, H. (2023). Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022. Nature Medicine, 29(7), 1857–1866. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02419-z
CO2 emissions per capita vs. GDP per capita. (2024). Our World In Data. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/co2-emissions-vs-gdp
Du, Z., Xu, J., & Lin, B. (2024). What does the digital economy bring to household carbon emissions? – From the perspective of energy intensity. Applied Energy, 370, 123613. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123613
Gallo, E., Quijal-Zamorano, M., Méndez Turrubiates, R. F., Tonne, C., Basagaña, X., Achebak, H., & Ballester, J. (2024). Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and the role of adaptation in protecting health. Nature Medicine, 30(11), 3101–3105. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-024-03186-1
Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement. 3914.
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). BASIC ECONOMETRICS (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
High-income countries saw power sector emissions peak in 2007, with emissions falling 29% since then. (2025). Ember-Energy.Org. https://ember-energy.org/countries-and-regions/oecd/
Huylo, M., Taheri, S., & Novoselac, A. (2025). Integration of renewable energy generation and storage systems for emissions reduction in an islanded campus microgrid. Building and Environment, 274, 112736. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2025.112736
Jiang, W., Chen, S., Tang, P., Hu, Y., Liu, M., Qiu, S., & Iqbal, M. (2024). Role of natural resources, renewable energy sources, eco-innovation and carbon taxes in carbon neutrality: Evidence from G7 economies. Heliyon, 10(13). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e33526
Justice, G., Nyantakyi, G., & Hayford, S. (2024). Heliyon The effect of renewable energy on carbon emissions through globalization. Heliyon, 10(5), e26894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26894
Marra, A., Colantonio, E., Cucculelli, M., & Nissi, E. (2024). The ‘complex’ transition: Energy intensity and CO2 emissions amidst technological and structural shifts. Evidence from OECD countries. Energy Economics, 136(October 2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107702
Mason, R., & Swanson, T. (2002). The costs of uncoordinated regulation. European Economic Review, 46(1), 143–167. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(01)00087-3
Methmini, D., Dharmapriya, N., Edirisinghe, S., Gunawardena, V., Jayathilaka, R., Wickramaarachchi, C., & Dharmasena, T. (2025). Economic and trade determinants of carbon emissions in the American region. Environmental Challenges, 19(March), 101140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envc.2025.101140
Nadeak, S. A. H., & Nasrudin, N. (2023). Pengaruh PDB per Kapita dan Konsumsi Energi terhadap Emisi GRK di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 23(2), 128–145. https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.09
Ochi, A., & Saidi, A. (2024). Impact of governance quality, population and economic growth on greenhouse gas emissions: An analysis based on a panel VAR model. Journal of Environmental Management, 370, 122613. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122613
OECD. (2020). Environment at a Glance 2020. OECD.
OECD. (2022). The Short and Winding Road to 2030. OECD. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1787/af4b630d-en
OECD. (2024a). OECD Contributions to the 2030 Agenda and Beyond. OECD. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1787/69c94bd4-en
OECD. (2024b). Unleashing Policy Coherence to Achieve the SDGs. OECD. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1787/a1c8dbf8-en
Perone, G. (2024). The relationship between renewable energy production and CO 2 emissions in 27 OECD countries: A panel cointegration and Granger non-causality approach. Journal of Cleaner Production, 434(March 2023), 139655. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139655
Progress in national climate policy efforts remains insufficient to achieve 2030 targets. (2024). OECD. https://www.oecd.org/en/about/news/press-releases/2024/11/progress-in-national-climate-policy-efforts-remains-insufficient-to-achieve-2030-targets.html?
Renewable energy consumption (% of total final energy consumption) - OECD members. (2023). World Bank. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
Ritchie, H., Rosado, P., & Roser, M. (2023). CO2 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions. OurWorldinData.Org. https://ourworldindata.org/co2-and-greenhouse-gas-emissions#article-citation
The Climate Action Monitor 2023. (2023).
The Climate Action Monitor 2024. (2024).
Tsandra, N. A., Sunaryo, R. P., Syafri, S., & Octaviani, D. (2023). Pengaruh Konsumsi Energi dan Aktivitas Ekonomi Terhadap Emisi CO2 di Negara G20. E-Journal Ekonomi Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 10(2), 69. https://doi.org/10.19184/ejeba.v10i2.39278
Wei, H., & Lahiri, R. (2022). Urbanization, energy-use intensity and emissions: A sectoral approach. Economic Analysis and Policy, 76, 667–684. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2022.09.001
Yunita, R., Gunarto, T., & Yuliawan, D. (2023). The Influence of GDP per Capita , Income Inequality , and Population on CO2 Emission ( Environmental Kuznet Curve Analysis in Indonesia ). 2(2), 217–230.